A new barometer?

I've been thinking of a new way to knee-jerk react to a trade or signing. The opposing fanbase's view. This probably only works with known entities (prospects and lesser-known players are an iffier proposition).

I remember when we traded for Craig Rivet. It seemed like a decent trade, but MTL fans mocked the fact that we made him captain. I remember clearly thinking that they were too far removed from his career to judge, but in the end Rivet was shown to not even be a good captain, was often a healthy scratch and was eventually given up for nothing.

If you look at the guys we've liked who've been traded, our assessments have been accurate: Kotalik(good riddance, gonna miss the shootout wins), Campbell (the money was stupid, but he's a damn fine player), Paille (no room for him here, but he's a fine 3-4th liner), Novotny (lol), Biron (Love the personality, best backup in the league).

Our record isn't perfect: Briere/Drury/Tim Kennedy being prime examples. We had the Briere/Drury equation flipped. Briere we thought would be injured often due to his size, but would be productive when healthy. We were half-right. Drury...it's hard to pinpoint what went wrong, but injuries and lack of production were a bit of a surprise. Tim Kennedy can be explained away by acknowledging that we had a blind-spot for the local kid.

I'm sure I've got some confirmation bias going on here, and I'm interested to see how this works out now that I'm keeping an eye on it. You may have noticed I'm focused on post-lockout. That's mostly because fan-bases (including our own) weren't as easily tracked before the arrival of Twitter and the post-lockout-era explosion of NHL presence online.

There are also some flaws in this system. Opinions on prospect/low-tier players are not as well formed as those of NHL regulars. Our opinions on Butler and Byron aren't fully fleshed out. Phoenix's fan base was probably glad to get anything for a slow-developing Briere.

This year will be very interesting as the fan bases of Vancouver, Philly, and Calgary all seemed to think very highly of the additions that the Sabres made this summer. The only issue they seem to have is the money paid out for Erhoff and Leino. As we've seen with guys like Briere and Campbell, that criticism can be put to be quickly through performance (though in Briere's case, it took a year). Let's just hope those fan-bases are more right than we were about Drury.

I'll be keeping a close eye on Connolly this year. Our opinion on him as a fan base seems to be that he needs a change of scenery, and even then won't be able to stay healthy. Given 82 games, I think 55-60 points is what the Leafs are paying him for. However, I think we all know that 60 games and 35-40 points is much more likely.

Another player to watch is Jagr, the vitriol out of Pittsburgh may be sour grapes, but a radio host called him a "selfish captain who only cares about himself" this morning.

Sabres Tickets for Sale. Now Public.

After seeing Kate over at the Willful Caboose present her tickets for sale on her blog, I decided to do the same. It's easier to track what's sold and what's available and will provide a better way to get info to those who need it.

The only fair way to do it is first come, first serve.

The tickets are in section 311, Row 7, Seats 1 & 2. (listed prices are for the pair)

Sold tickets will be struck-through and I will keep this list as up-to-date as possible.

Twitter folks can DM me at @RITBeast if interested.

November

Team	Date	Price
Philadelphia Flyers	Wed NOV 2, 7:30	$80
Ottawa Senators	Fri NOV 11, 7:30	$80
New Jersey Devils	Wed NOV 16, 7:30	$80
Washington Capitals	Sat NOV 26, 7:00	$90
New York Islanders	Tues NOV 29, 7:00	$80

December

Team	Date	Price
Florida Panthers	Fri DEC 9, 7:30	$80
New York Rangers	Sat DEC 10, 7:00	$90
Toronto Maple Leafs	Fri DEC 16, 7:30	$90
Ottawa Senators	Sat DEC 31, 7:00	$80

Minecraft

Finding the willpower to write about Minecraft is difficult, because in order to do so, you have to stop playing Minecraft. This was intended to be a much longer, more in-depth review, but I think it cuts to the chase effectively.

You find yourself in a strange world which renders around you as arrive. The sun is out and it's a beautiful day. The graphics are blocky, but adequate. You take a moment to gather yourself and examine your surroundings.... but the clock is ticking. The sun is still rising, but when it sets... The monsters come.

When first dropped into Minecraft, this is what you know: "In 10 minutes, the sun is going to set and I will be set upon by monsters which will kill me. I need wood, I need coal, and I need it now." It's such a primitive concept, but executed beautifully. It's a virtual commentary on the theory of Human Motivation.

First: shelter, survival and safety - just the basic needs.

Second: Comfort, expansion of your safety and the accumulation of wealth and materials.

Third: Creating and sharing with friends, socializing etc.

The game comes together so organically, it's hard not to be impressed. The panic that sets in as night falls and you are still exposed; When you discover a new cavern deep in the earth and the zombie you've been hearing groan is suddenly RIGHT THERE. The mile-stones to mark your progress are plentiful and enjoyable, but almost all self-generated.

There's so much to explore and do, that it's easy to be overwhelmed by your options.
You can create a tree/wheat/sugar farm, develop a complex system of mining, create a portal to the hell world to gather rare materials, build elaborate traps to catch and kill monsters or just wander the world taking in the interesting sights and struggling to survive.

Should you decide to try the game, you will definitely want to view this video:

and you'll probably want to check out the information here:
Minecraft wiki beginner's guide

These will help you with the absolute basics. If you're worried about spoilers or developing your own strategies, you should still watch the video and view the basics page in order to get to a point where you'll understand how the game works.

Just remember: In 10 minutes, the monsters come.

Now if you'll excuse me, I have some mining to do. And a farm to attend to. And I want to build a road to connect our various bases. Oh! And I want to explore that cavern! And I still need to figure out how to use mine-carts... We should open a portal to the Nether.... AH CREEPER! RUUUUUN.

GM for a day. Now with 100% less Bucky.

Let's try this again (blogger lost my first draft). Here's my goal in this post: I want to get a look at what we can spend in free agency on a center after we re-sign our players. I'm assuming we can't get Connolly on the cheap (He probably wants out with the level of disdain fans here have for him). I tried to trend the numbers towards a "worst case scenario", so that if it seems like I'm overpaying, that's a bit by design.

Here's how I treated our NHL Unrestricted Free Agents:
Cody McCormick: $400k raise to $900k. While he seemed to fade down the strech, he's a goony guy with the ability to play hockey. Worth keeping around at a reasonable price.

Connolly: I'd give him a cursory 1 Million/yr offer with the expectation that he leaves.

Montador: We don't have the room on the blue line for the price he'll fetch.

Grier: If he's good to go, a $800k offer to play. Otherwise, I'd offer him a video-analyst position of some sort where he can work with the young guys.

Neidermayer: Epic playoff performer, but just doesn't have a full-season in him any more, unexpectedly sad to see him go.

Lalime: Some organizational role seems like a good idea for one of the better team-first guys we had last year.

Here's how I treated our NHL Restricted Free Agents:

Stafford: $2.1 Million raise to $4M. The big fish. More than doubled his salary for 1 or 2 years and that gets him to UFA status. Seems fair to both sides. It might take 5 Million a year to get this done. Either way, I think you pay it. (A 3.5 Million longer term would be acceptable as well).

Grabner at 3 Million is comparable stats-wise, but with only one season under his belt and a lower Point-per-game pace than Stafford I think a higher price should be expected.

Gerbe: $350k raise to $1.2M. Such a lovable little guy, but has to prove he can do it year-round. Very young, still a RFA - 1.2 Million seems pretty reasonable.

Sekera: $1 Million raise to $2M. Good, young defenseman who's still learning and growing as a player. 100% raise is justified.

Butler: $650k raise to $1.5M. Perhaps a bit much, but with the TOI he had during the playoffs, I think he's earned a solid bump in salary.

Weber: $1 Million raise to $1.55M. I have a heterosexual man-crush on Mike Weber and I'm not ashamed to admit it. I've paid him accordingly.

Gragnani: $1 Million raise to $1.5M. His Playoff and World Championship performances provide a lot of support for a big raise.

Enroth: $1 Million raise to $1.566M. He's going to get a raise, probably not that much - but he will be seeing some more ice time next year.

This ends up being a little under 1 Million LESS than the Sabres spent last year.

In all, with the 15% increase in salary that Ted Black mentioned (~7-8 Million extra), the Sabres have about 8 million to spend on a new center. (A little less with a 13th forward on the roster, a little more without). Seems like a good spot to be in to compete for Richards or make a trade for a big name and replace a traded piece. Here's an approximation of the final roster:

CAPGEEK.COM CAP CALCULATOR

FORWARDS
Thomas Vanek ($7.142m) / [Insert New Guy Here] ($7.500m) / Jason Pominville ($5.300m)
Brad Boyes ($4.000m) / Derek Roy ($4.000m) / Drew Stafford ($4.000m)
Patrick Kaleta ($0.907m) / Tyler Ennis ($0.875m) / Jochen Hecht ($3.525m)
Nathan Gerbe ($1.200m) / Paul Gaustad ($2.300m) / Cody McCormick ($0.900m)
[Zach Kassian ($0.900m) as first call-up, not included in calculations]

DEFENSEMEN
Jordan Leopold ($3.000m) / Marc-Andre Gragnani ($1.500m)
Tyler Myers ($1.300m) / Andrej Sekera ($2.000m)
Mike Weber ($1.550m) / Chris Butler ($1.500m)
/ Shaone Morrisonn ($2.075m)

GOALTENDERS
Ryan Miller ($6.250m) / Jhonas Enroth ($1.566m)

BUYOUTS: Tim Kennedy ($0.166m)

CAPGEEK.COM TOTALS (follow @capgeek on Twitter)
(these totals are compiled without the bonus cushion)
SALARY CAP: $59,400,000; CAP PAYROLL: $55,058,690; BONUSES: $425,000
CAP SPACE (20-man roster): $4,341,310

Edit: To clarify why Kassian wasn't included in my calculations.

Battlefield: Bad Company 2

So I've been playing this one for a while (24hrs+ multiplayer ~level 12 and over half-way through single player campaign) and it is a fun and competitive game. The single-player campaign has been covered to death in reviews everywhere so I'll skip over that portion apart from saying: It's very cinematic and can be very frustrating (some missions are almost too unique).

As with previous battlefield games, multi-player is where the main game lies. Supporting up to 32 players at a time (pretty easily I might add), and with interesting and varied maps, there is a lot of interesting firefight to be had. There's also a wonderful leveling component to the game (both overall and in individual classes + vehicles in general).

Explanation of the basics
Leveling in each class will give you access to essential class equipment (repair tool for engineer, health kit for medic, etc.), and access to different and better weapons. Overall leveling is much slower, but the rewards can be used by all classes (shotguns, pistols and equipment upgrades). The equipment upgrades seem very powerful, particularly body armor and magnum ammo which are not available until you've reached higher levels. They allow you to kill faster or be killed slower - both of which are pretty nice.

Leveling is primarily accomplished by killing other players and by completing objectives (destroying/defending M-Coms in Rush Mode, capturing/defending flags). You can also score small points in bunches by doing team-friendly support operations (dropping ammo boxes, health kits, sensors and spotting players for your teammates to kill).

There's an interesting learning curve to the game and several different skills essential to your survival and ability to compete.
1. The basics: How to use cover, and shoot effectively to kill. What are the goals and how are they accomplished? How to use the map and spot players/vehicles?

2. The general strategy: How to survive and use different weapons in different situations. Figuring out how to help your team accomplish goals, and prevent the opposite team from achieving theirs.

3. The Maps: Figuring out how to achieve surprise by flanking or just being where the enemy doesn't expect. Where are the kill zones on each map and how do I get around them. Where will the enemy come from?

4. The finer points: Swapping out weapons while in a firefight rather than reloading. Reloading between skirmishes. When to use grenades. Destroying important cover without destroying your own. Using smoke to disrupt snipers.

Then comes mastering all of these different skills and blending them together to make a killing machine.

How does it play?

The good
The detail in the game is amazing. Whether you are dealing with being temporarily deafened by a nearby explosion or you are pumping RPGs into a tank and ducking into cover for reloads, you'll be immersed. The gunshots echo indoors, the snipers shot echoes through the hills a half-second after firing and the bullets whizzing by sound very, very real.

The destructible environment can be breathtaking and challenging to deal with and effective teamwork is rewarded above all. Sneaking a squad behind the enemy's front line can often cause game-winning disruptions, particularly if they're working together and of varied classes.

The bad
It's a wild game, but can be very frustrating. Along with being more knowledgeable due to longer play-time (both about maps and strategy, and having honed important skills), higher levels also get equipment bonuses. Emptying a clip into a level 50 who's returning the favor is often a losing proposition for the first 15 levels or so. That isn't to downplay what an advantage experience is. Coming from unexpected angles on targets they aren't expected to attack, often in a pack, good, high level players can single-handedly alter the complexion of a match.

The UGLY
Inexperienced and less skilled players can influence your team in the same way that experienced and excellent players can. It's a team game and being on a weak or strong team often influences your score as much as any actions you normally take. Nothing in the world is more annoying than being revived by a medic who hasn't made sure the area's been cleared after your death and being gunned down by the same guy, from the same place before you can get your bearings. Unless it's the low-level newbie jumping into a tank and driving it behind enemy lines where he hops out and leaves it for the enemy to take.

Lopsided wins and losses happen a lot due to dominant high-level (and high-skill) players. Headsets and teamwork are king, and if you don't use them regularly (as it seems 90% of the PC population does not), you will be at a significant and severe disadvantage against those who do.

Conclusion
It's a game that sometimes rewards spawn camping and some other aspects of cheap play that might be discouraged in other games, but is still fun and challenging in spite of that. Sometimes you'll be frustrated when you go 2-10 in K/D ratio because of that bastard in the tank who keeps hopping out and repairing. Other times, you'll be thrilled when you go 12-3 because you're that bastard dominating and frustrating the other team with your tank. It's definitely one of the most intense and cinematic experiences you'll get for under $20.

Games games and games

I have a few thoughts I'm planning on putting down in a bit. I'd like to do a brief review of Irondale (card game), 7 wonders (board/card game), and discuss Battlefield Bad Company 2 (PC). There's a lot to like about all of them and a lot to dislike as well. I haven't touched Monday Night Combat in weeks and I tried to load up Team Fortress this morning only to exit after a brief fling with "Medieval mode".

Monday Night Combat - Early Impressions

So I've been playing MNC off and on for about a week now (between games of battlefield Bad Company 2) and have decided to try to put together some thoughts on the game. Just a note: I have left a LOT out for the sake of brevity. Just want to keep this general while providing background on where I'm drawing my conclusions from.

I'll start with this: for $15, you get a lot of game.
Here are the positives:
1. There's a single-player/co-op mode that's interesting and almost like a tower defense game in which you're a more direct participant.
2. There are 6 classes to choose from and all of them are difficult to master.
3. The crossfire match is an intense 6-on-6 multi-player game with several different ways to contribute to your team no matter what class you are.
4. Combat is intense, the game is polished and there are a TON of hard decisions to make over the course of one crossfire match.

All of that is great, but brings me to one of the biggest problems with the current "DLC" game industry. No Manual. In MNC's case, there's not even one available on the web (that I could find). This makes an already steep learning curve almost insurmountable for a beginner. The available walk through gives you an idea of the controls for one class, and some basic game concepts, but falls short on the details (like various turrets' and weapons' power/range). This would be fine, except the details aren't made available to you at all.

As I said, the learning curve is STEEP. Each combatant has 2 weapons (with a right mouse and left mouse function) and 3 "skills" (some of which may be weapons). For instance, the Assault has a grenade launcher(much like the TF2 demoman) and an assault rifle to select from via the mouse wheel. The right mouse button does a "Grapple" (close-quarters take-down like in a fighting game) for the grenade launcher, but the Assault rifle zooms in for better accuracy. He can also "Fly" (float at his current height with a jet-pack), throw a bomb to be detonated later with the same key, and "charge" (which can be used to knock players off the map). Every single one of these things should be used to play effectively.

These skills and weapons can also be upgraded using money. Money is gained by killing bots, players and opponents turrets. The biggest issue in learning the game is that you die a lot. When you die, your opponent becomes more powerful and can now kill you much faster than he could before. I think you can see where I'm going with this. On top of that, he's now a greater threat to your teammates and all of your team's bots and emplacements. With the re-spawn time, you're also taken out of the fight and can't even help beat back the opponents' bots.

As a beginner, you're at a disadvantage which is multiplied by the fact that every time you die, your opponents are that much stronger. (Even if you don't die, they're going to get stronger at a faster rate than you due to their experience). It can be extremely frustrating as you're one-shotted by a sniper you never see over and over again only to begin avoiding him and running into experienced players who have already purchased several upgrades while you're struggling to get your second (the first is free). Often in this game, I've felt like I'm carrying a BB-gun to a tank-fight - especially when you factor in "Juice" (equivalent of an extended ubercharge from TF2).

Despite my frustrations and misgivings, there's a hell of a game there if you're ever able to learn how to play. Deciding how to spend your money is a massive challenge. Do you get yourself a skill-boost that you may not use or build/upgrade a turret that might be laid to waste by a juiced opponent? Do you unlock a jump-pad for your team to use or save up to buy a shot from the annihilator?

Negatives:
1. Extremely steep learning curve.
2. Frustrating to learn, both for you and your teammates who have you on their team.
2a. As an example, I was firing on an enemy turret. A teammate "Hacked" it and I continued to fire on it. (For this writeup, I had to look up whether friendly fire was in the game. It isn't.)
3. Needs more content from the announcer (hearsay)
4. Lack of a manual is brutal. Wiki can only carry you so far.


For now, I'd list it as a buy. The price is right and while I'm not having much fun yet, I hope to at some point.

Inspired.

Inspired by a tweet from @lukeisbazooka72 on twitter, my Myers rap.

Standing 6 foot 8 like a skating tree,
Myers coming at you with insanity.

Lurching around like he's out of luck,
Suckered you! He's already gone with the puck.

Blazing through the neutral zone like a bullet,
only way to look smoother? Sport a mullet.

Watch out Goalie he just torched your "D",
and now you're stuck alone with a skating tree.

Fifty seven dekeing to the left and the right,
try to follow every move? you'll see a red light.

Sitting back you just try to enjoy the show,
He just winds up with a slapper and he lets it go.

Off your noggin and into the goal,
Hey at least he didn't beat you five-hole.

Hopefully she worked on one as well for comparison. I put this together in 10 minutes.

Disappointing, but for the best.

I attempted to start this out as a Sabres blog, but there are simply too many smart Sabres bloggers out there. It's not that there's too much competition, but that I have nothing to add that hasn't already been said. Pretty much all of my contributions to the Sabres-blogger-world can be summed up in 140 characters or less.

I think my efforts are better spent on other topics with the occasional peek into Sabres-land. Whether it be videogames, technology, or boardgames, I'll hopefully have something worth adding to the conversation.